| courtesy: guardian.co.uk/football |
Tuesday, August 7, 2012
Arsenal finally swimming in the deep end
Tuesday, June 5, 2012
Obituary: Remembering Charlie Sutton
| Image: Wikimedia commons |
Wednesday, May 23, 2012
Overachievers/underachievers: 2011-2012 EPL
| Club (by league position) | ALP 1993-2012 | ALP 2008-2012 | ||
Manchester
City
|
16.7
|
˄
|
5.6
|
˄
|
Manchester
United
|
1.6
|
˅
|
1.4
|
-
|
Arsenal
|
3.6
|
˄
|
3.4
|
-
|
| Tottenham Hotspur |
9.9
|
˄
|
6.4
|
˄
|
Newcastle
United
|
9.0
|
˄
|
13.6
|
˄
|
Chelsea
|
5.1
|
˅
|
2.8
|
˅
|
Everton
|
10.9
|
˄
|
6.4
|
˅
|
Liverpool
|
4.6
|
˅
|
5.4
|
˅
|
| Fulham |
31.7
|
˄
|
10.6
|
˄
|
West
Bromwich Albion
|
26.9
|
˄
|
16.8
|
˄
|
| Swansea City |
58.5
|
˄
|
26.8
|
˄˄
|
Norwich
City
|
27.6
|
˄
|
31.6
|
˄˄
|
Sunderland
|
20.3
|
˄
|
13.4
|
˄
|
Stoke
City
|
32.4
|
˄
|
14.4
|
-
|
Wigan
Athletic
|
42.0
|
˄
|
14.4
|
˅
|
Aston
Villa
|
8.8
|
˅
|
8.6
|
˅
|
Queens
Park Rangers
|
30.8
|
˄
|
27.2
|
˄
|
| Bolton Wanderers |
19
|
˄
|
15
|
˅
|
Blackburn
Rovers
|
11.7
|
˅
|
13.2
|
˅
|
Wolverhampton
Wanderers
|
26.3
|
˄
|
20
|
-
|
Thursday, May 17, 2012
The Twenty-year Premier League table
Movers this year include Manchester City, who climbed from eleventh to fifth, and Wolves, whose inept displays after Mick McCarthy's dismissal left them at the bottom of the table. Two consecutive strong seasons from West Brom has finally allowed them to climb from the bottom to their current position. Click here to view last year's table.
Team
|
Years
|
Title
|
Range
|
Top 4
|
Top 10
|
Relegations
|
Pts
|
Avg
|
Avg GD
|
Man Utd
|
20
|
12
|
1 to 3
|
20
|
20
|
0
|
1663
|
83.15
|
44.05
|
Arsenal
|
20
|
3
|
1 to 12
|
17
|
19
|
0
|
1449
|
72.45
|
31.85
|
Chelsea
|
20
|
3
|
1 to 14
|
11
|
16
|
0
|
1402
|
70.1
|
26.95
|
Blackburn
|
18
|
1
|
1 to 19
|
3
|
11
|
2
|
969
|
53.83
|
1.28
|
Man City
|
15
|
1
|
1 to 18
|
2
|
8
|
2
|
783
|
52.2
|
2.33
|
Liverpool
|
20
|
0
|
2 to 8
|
15
|
20
|
0
|
1314
|
65.7
|
25.05
|
Leeds United
|
12
|
0
|
3 to 19
|
3
|
7
|
1
|
692
|
57.67
|
5.67
|
Newcastle
|
18
|
0
|
2 to 18
|
2
|
9
|
1
|
1017
|
56.5
|
6.83
|
Aston Villa
|
20
|
0
|
2 to 18
|
2
|
15
|
0
|
1091
|
54.55
|
3.15
|
Tottenham
|
20
|
0
|
4 to 15
|
2
|
14
|
0
|
1086
|
54.3
|
2.25
|
Everton
|
20
|
0
|
4 to 17
|
1
|
8
|
0
|
1033
|
51.65
|
0.1
|
QPR
|
5
|
0
|
5 to 19
|
0
|
3
|
1
|
250
|
50
|
-6.2
|
Norwich City
|
5
|
0
|
3 to 20
|
0
|
1
|
2
|
248
|
49.6
|
-13.2
|
Sheffield Wed.
|
8
|
0
|
7 to 19
|
0
|
3
|
1
|
392
|
49
|
-6.88
|
West Ham
|
16
|
0
|
5 to 20
|
0
|
8
|
2
|
764
|
47.75
|
-9.81
|
Derby County
|
7
|
0
|
8 to 20
|
0
|
2
|
2
|
274
|
46.6
|
-21.29
|
Fulham
|
11
|
0
|
7 to 17
|
0
|
4
|
0
|
511
|
46.45
|
-3.6
|
Stoke City
|
4
|
0
|
11 to 14
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
183
|
45.75
|
-12.5
|
Coventry City
|
9
|
0
|
11 to 19
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
409
|
45.44
|
-11.44
|
Southampton
|
13
|
0
|
8 to 20
|
0
|
3
|
1
|
587
|
45.15
|
-10
|
Charlton Athl.
|
8
|
0
|
7 to 19
|
0
|
2
|
2
|
361
|
45.13
|
-12.5
|
Ipswich Town
|
5
|
0
|
5 to 22
|
0
|
1
|
2
|
224
|
44.8
|
-18.6
|
Bolton
|
13
|
0
|
6 to 20
|
0
|
4
|
2
|
575
|
44.23
|
-13.08
|
Sheffield Utd
|
3
|
0
|
14 to 20
|
0
|
0
|
2
|
132
|
44
|
-13.33
|
Sunderland
|
10
|
0
|
7 to 20
|
0
|
3
|
3
|
440
|
44
|
-17.2
|
Middlesbrough
|
14
|
0
|
7 to 21
|
0
|
2
|
3
|
611
|
43.64
|
-8.57
|
Birmingham
|
7
|
0
|
9 to 19
|
0
|
2
|
3
|
301
|
43
|
-12.43
|
Leicester City
|
8
|
0
|
8 to 21
|
0
|
4
|
3
|
342
|
42.75
|
-12.75
|
Wigan
|
7
|
0
|
10 to 17
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
295
|
42.14
|
-20
|
Nottm Forest
|
5
|
0
|
3 to 22
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
199
|
39.8
|
-11.6
|
Crystal Palace
|
4
|
0
|
18 to 21
|
0
|
0
|
4
|
159
|
39.75
|
-18.75
|
Portsmouth
|
7
|
0
|
8 to 20
|
0
|
2
|
1
|
293
|
36.63
|
-12.57
|
West Brom
|
6
|
0
|
10 to 20
|
0
|
1
|
3
|
216
|
36
|
-21.83
|
Wolves
|
4
|
0
|
15 to 20
|
0
|
0
|
2
|
136
|
34
|
-30.75
|
Monday, May 14, 2012
Where to now for Bolton Wanderers?
Tuesday, April 24, 2012
Alternative XI: Footballing Autofills
Monday, April 23, 2012
Book review: And God created Cricket - Simon Hughes
Former veteran county cricketer now cricket journalist Simon Hughes posits this work as being something of an antithesis to the efforts provided by most cricketing historians. Hughes even goes as far to mention that those works developed by ex-Prime Ministers are too serious. 'And God Created Cricket' is a light hearted romp through centuries of cricket (not to mention debauchery, skulduggery, and downright bad manners).
![]() |
| Image thanks to telegraph.co.uk |
Monday, January 30, 2012
A statistical breakdown of Premier League goalkeeping
What was more interesting was the amount of variation between goalkeepers on the same team: where David Stockdale rode an early wave of form (and a Mark Schwarzer injury) into the England squad yet wasn't able to repel the big Australian when he came back to full fitness.
This year, save percentages have decreased ever so slightly (from a league average 0.694 to 0.691) while GAA has seen a commensurate tiny increase (1.396 to 1.416). The following tables show all the Premiership's goalkeepers arranged by GAA. The red line marks the approximate league averages.
![]() |
| (c) Balanced Sports |
For all the raw goalkeeper stats you can lay your hands on, visit our Goalkeeper Stats page.
Saturday, December 17, 2011
What I'd like for Christmas
Wednesday, August 10, 2011
Promoted teams' survival rates
Key: Blue = Uninterrupted Premier League tenure; Red = In lower division; Grey = season yet to be played; Green = team in Premier League after relegation (and probable lineup changes).
The above chart maps the fortunes of all the teams promoted tot he English Premier League since 2001. It shows the startling decrease over the past four years of promoted teams strengthening over time.
Full analysis coming Friday. As this is as artistic as I get, thought it was worth sharing early.
Tuesday, June 7, 2011
Complete English Premier League Table, 1993-2011
Manchester United sits atop with twelve titles, but who sits behind them? Arsenal? Chelsea? Palace? The Battersea Home for Lost Dogs third XI ... click across to find out. (It's too big to post here).
Tuesday, May 24, 2011
The Ten-Year Premiership Table
Our newest addition is the 2002-11 Cumulative EPL Table. Take a peek to see how your club fared.
Enjoy!
Thursday, May 19, 2011
Balanced Sports on Soccerlens & The Roar
We've also been published on Soccerlens, detailing how West Ham can bounce straight back up from relegation to the Championship.
Wednesday, May 18, 2011
Applying NHL Goalkeeper stats to the English Premiership
In the English Premiership, goalkeepers often face the most scrutiny and pressure. It's a simple truth of football that custodians need to maintain concentration during long periods of inactivity and then make a save, clear a ball or claim a cross. When they fail, often it costs their team a goal. In short, to have a reliable man between the posts is the foundation of a solid defence.There are many methods of evaluating goalkeeper efficacy such as Goals Conceded and Saves but rarely with this position do stats tell the full story. As with statistical application across all sports, much depends on interpretation. The only GK stats readily available don't take into account things such as howlers (for which Tottenham's Gomes must be very thankful), nor aspects of defending which usually fall to the 'keeper such as communication, marshalling a defence or their (in)ability to deal with crosses. The one stat however which doesn't appear is Save Percentage.
Save percentage in football doesn't fully measure a goalkeeper's efficiency but it can provide some small insight into how the goalkeeper for each team performs. Often GKs are exposed to "no win" situations due to the size of their goalmouth, their defences' positioning and the skills or pace of an opposition player. Save percentage and Goals Allowed Average are key indicators as to an NHL custodian's performance, even though they still don't fully reflect a backstop's value.
To port those NHL numbers across to the Premiership ma
kes for interesting reading. The following table is arranged by Goalkeeper Save Percentage. It shows (perhaps) why Fulham's David Stockdale got such big raps while covering for Mark Schwarzer earlier in the season and that Joe Hart's slight slip in form this year since returning to City from Birmingham is perhaps overstated.
For the full analysis, visit the Goalkeeper Stats page.
Top 15
| Team | Goalkeeper | Games | Saves | Conceded | GAA | Save % |
| Fulham | David Stockdale | 7 | 26 | 6 | 0.86 | 0.81 |
| Tottenham | Carlo Cudicini | 7 | 21 | 6 | 0.86 | 0.78 |
| Man City | Joe Hart | 36 | 107 | 33 | 0.92 | 0.76 |
| Stoke City | Asmir Begovic | 27 | 93 | 31 | 1.15 | 0.75 |
| Tottenham | Gomes | 30 | 115 | 39 | 1.3 | 0.75 |
| Chelsea | Petr Cech | 37 | 98 | 32 | 0.86 | 0.75 |
| Man Utd | Edwin van der Sar | 32 | 80 | 30 | 0.94 | 0.73 |
| Bolton | Jussi Jaaskelainen | 34 | 118 | 47 | 1.38 | 0.72 |
| Fulham | Mark Schwarzer | 30 | 91 | 35 | 1.17 | 0.72 |
| Arsenal | Wojciech Szczesny | 14 | 42 | 17 | 1.21 | 0.71 |
| West Ham | Robert Green | 36 | 154 | 66 | 1.83 | 0.7 |
| Wigan | Ali Al Habsi | 33 | 112 | 49 | 1.48 | 0.7 |
| Sunderland | Craig Gordon | 15 | 50 | 21 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Arsenal | Lukasz Fabianski | 14 | 36 | 14 | 1 | 0.7 |
| Liverpool | Pepe Reina | 37 | 96 | 43 | 1.16 | 0.69 |
Bottom 5
| Team | Goalkeeper | Games | Saves | Conceded | GAA | Save % |
| Newcastle | Tim Krul | 19 | 47 | 32 | 1.68 | 0.59 |
| West Brom | Boaz Myhill | 6 | 18 | 13 | 2.17 | 0.58 |
| Blackpool | Paul Rachubka | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 0.55 |
| Man Utd | Tomasz Kuszczak | 5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0.55 |
| Wigan | Chris Kirkland | 4 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 0.29 |
Image of Mark Schwarzer courtesy: free-football.tv
Image of Carey Price courtesy: leshabitantssontmagnifique.wordpress.com
Tuesday, May 17, 2011
Obituary: Remembering Bobby Davis
Today the tributes flow for Bob Davis, "The Geelong Flyer", as well they should. Davis passed away yesterday at the age of 82. With it, he leaves behind a legacy as Geelong's favourite son.
The reason Bob Davis is so fondly remembered isn't his footballing ability, though he had loads. Neither is it his coaching, which delivered in 1963 Corio Bay's last flag for the twentieth century. It wasn't World of Sport, "Fair Dinkum Unbelievable", League Teams or the Three Wise Monkeys. It was his lifetime love for Geelong Football Club. Bobby was the essence of a one-club man, totally aware of the incredible gift the Cats were to the city of Greater Geelong.
It would be unfair to gloss over his influential play and coaching. As a half-forward flanker, his athleticism was unparalleled and he boasted a devastating long kick. He represented his state with flair and distinction. Any rumours suggesting the Cat teams of those years weren't tough are completely unfounded - no-one won in that era without being hard. He captained, coached - starting at 26 - and won a Best & Fairest award before calling time on a 189-game career. Perhaps the greatest compliment paid to him is that the iconic image of him, in full stream with football tucked under arm, is one of the defining images of that era of Aussie Rules.
There's a pleasing symmetry in that during his coaching period US President John F. Kennedy declared "Ask not what your country can do for you, but what you can do for your country", because that was Bob's attitude to the Kardinia Park faithful. After taking over the reins as Geelong coach, he brought Polly Farmer to Geelong and used Polly's unique skill-set to kickstart a running game which echoed back to Hickey's slick, speedy 1951-52-53 unit; teams in which Bob Davis was a key member.
Bob Davis defined Geelong Football Club for over sixty years. During that time, he was an entertainer both on and off the oval. Alongside Jack Dyer and Lou Richards in League Teams, Davis had access to almost every home in Victoria in a format-defining show which with the modern proliferation of media sources will never again be replicated. His - and his comrades' - impact on football commentary shows should make (Davis protégé) Sam Newman, Eddie McGuire and the Cats' next best born entertainer, Billy Brownless, offer up daily prayers of thanks. There was no laddish behaviour or uncouthness, only three blokes having fun talking about football.
Throughout almost his entire adult life, Bobby was the first source for comment on all matters Geelong: from the brawl with Hawthorn in 1985 to near-bankruptcy in the early 2000s and finally, memorably, awarding Tom Harley the 2009 Premiership Cup and celebrating with "the boys". He was conscious of the blessing the win would be not only to the players, coaches and administrators of Geelong Football Club but also the boon it would prove to the entire region. The city of Geelong, the AFL community and a lot of Victoria will mourn his passing.
Bob Davis, dead at eighty-two. He will be remembered. He will be missed.
Image courtesy: geelongadvertiser.com.au
For The Age's photo gallery honouring Bobby Davis, click here.
Monday, May 16, 2011
Geelong, like Manchester United, are the "Crap Invincibles"
This is hardly a different viewpoint to some reports emanating from Victoria. The Cats still bear (most of) the fruit of a decade's intelligent drafting and their core, though nearer retirement than debut, may eke out another triumph or two. The Premiership may be a bridge too far, but it is now firmly on the Cats' radar.
This isn't the first time such successful renewal on the fly has happened at the Cattery. In 1995, nearly broken from three Grand Final defeats, Malcolm Blight walked away from coaching Geelong to be replaced by his assistant Gary Ayres. The former Hawthorn defender wanted to toughen a notoriously freewheeling and attack-minded club and got immediate results. The Cats hardened up and were rewarded with another Grand Final appearance that year only to be demolished by an irresistible Carlton unit. They made the finals again in 1997 - with a team many thought much improved over their mid-90s teams - and were eliminated after losing in Adelaide amidst the drama of Leigh Colbert's phantom mark.
These memories have been re-awakened this year. Rookie coach Chris Scott - in his playing days an uncomprom
ising defender like Ayres - has revitalised some aspects of the playing group, most obviously David Wojcinski. He has empowered others, like Taylor Hunt and Daniel Menzel. But more than that, he and the club don't subscribe to 2010 tactics that then-coach Mark Thompson admitted were flawed. The Cats have begun to grind out results as if they've become so accustomed to winning that they have simply just continued this learned behaviour, albeit in a different style.
A parallel can be drawn from the land of tea, Sherlock Holmes, Doctor Who and Pippa Middleton. Manchester United were crowned English Premier Leauge Champions on Saturday, capturing their fourth title in five years. This triumph has been touted rightly as one of Sir Alex Ferguson's greatest achievements: his team - missing Cristiano Ronaldo, Carlos Tevez and (mostly) Wayne Rooney's form - clung onto top position relying on an ageing squad sprinkled with youth.
In 2010, United lost the title to Chelseas and pundits predicted a fall-off. The squad - with only one new player really contributing - went unbeaten into February, the equivalent of the AFL's Round 16. The ESPN Soccernet podcast dubbed Ferguson's mob "The Crap Invincibles" for their ability to avoid defeat yet look totally uninspiring doing it.
Although the AFL's answer to Sir Alex is working in his lab preparing to mastermind an orange outfit into season 2012, it sounds familiar, doesn't it? While the Cats have been impressive so far, the high-scoring juggernaut of 2007 is gone. Like United, Geelong has the enviable gift of being able to win despite their skills not being at their peak. They are the AFL's "Crap Invincibles". This isn't an insult - quite the opposite - their ability to get results such as Friday night's win (against a Magpie outfit they at times looked unable to cope with) is testament to their determination and smarts. They are achieving not because of what they can do physically, but because of strength of character.
Neither club's time-derived ability to win has died. In fact, though their squads are unquestionably weaker than during their pomp of 2007-08, their collective nous has perhaps increased. Injury time has become synonymous with a United rally and goal, while the Cats have made a (slightly annoying but understandable) habit of being able to overpower their opposition with a quarter and a half of devastating play. The popular adage states that success breeds success. It couldn't be more true than in Geelong or Manchester United.
Chris Scott image courtesy: theage.com.au
Sir Alex Ferguson image courtesy: simply-reds.blogspot.com
Friday, May 6, 2011
Blackpool, Premiership strugglers, stick to their (pop) guns
Though Ian Holloway has earned plaudits for his attacking play and forthright press conferences as well as Charlie Adam for his "wonderful left peg", it could be that their Blackpool team are doomed to relegation from the Premiership this season. Holloway's philosophy, which he said came about after a period out of the game where he watched too much boring football, is to attack at all costs - a vast difference from the dour style he favoured as manager of Bristol Rovers, QPR, Plymouth and Leicester. Adam and a mildly-surprising DJ Campbell helped the Tangerines into the top half early this term with an flurry of goals, but the club has won only twice this year in the Premiership and now sits seventeenth, out of the drop zone only on goal difference. But the offensive style so favoured by the Seasiders has come at a cost - Blackpool have conceded seventy goals already this season, one of the worst totals in the Premier League over the past ten years. There are still three matches to go.
Only seven other times has a team shopped over seventy goals. Three of those times occurred last year as Wigan (79 goals conceded), Burnley (82 conceded) and Hull (75) got pounded repeatedly by larger clubs. Over the past decade, of all the teams that conceded more than Blackpool have this year, only last year's Wigan escaped relegation; a fact due probably more to other club's incompetence rather than any particular Latic resolve. So does a promoted team playing expansive football have any benefit - other than aesthetic - in the Premier League?
Holloway's men have a goal difference of -22, meaning they've conceded 22 more goals than they've scored. Since 2001-02, every other club who's conceded more than seventy goals in a season boasts a goal difference in excess of -35. His fast-paced tactics mean their scoring balanced (somewhat) the ineptitude of their defence leaving them better placed (for now and without them taking a disastrous thumping in their last three games) than every other porous club this decade. Perhaps we're looking at this the wrong way: while 'Olly likes attacking football and instructs his club to play that way, he's probably correctly surmised that with the defence at his disposal, their best chance to avoid the drop is to attack.
However, football is more than stats. The Blackpool boss could have (again) correctly judged his club didn't have the mettle to compete against giants like United and Chelsea and thought it best to go out playing the style that got them to the Big Dance in the first place. As with Owen Coyle at Burnley and now Bolton, there's something to be said for sticking to one's principles. If Blackpool were to survive to fight again next year, many would celebrate: another year of Olly's sound-bites, more fluid football and the joy of supporting an underdog in the top flight.
Image courtesy http://live4liverpool.com




