| courtesy: en.wikipedia.org |
Thursday, February 6, 2014
Shall we celebrate Atletico Madrid now?
Friday, June 21, 2013
European Goalkeeper Stats 2010-11
European Goalkeeper stats 2011-12
Thursday, June 20, 2013
European Goalkeeper Stats 2012-13
Click past the byline to see the (rather lengthy) statistics.
Thursday, November 8, 2012
Graphic: European football conversion rates
The higher on the Y-axis the forward, the more efficient the player in front of goal; the farther to the right on the X-axis, the more shots they generate. Only players with four goals or more this season were considered (ie. forwards with a goals/game ratio higher than .364). Players are colour-coded according to the league in which they play: red for La Liga, orange for the English Premier League, green for the Bundesliga and azure for Serie A.
Finally, a statistical category in which Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo don't lead the pack!
Friday, June 1, 2012
Graphic: The most efficient teams in Europe
Each team's defensive stolidity is calculated by finding out how many shots they faced per goal, while offensive precision is calculated by the same means (how many shots per goal). There's little surprise that Juventus and Borussia Moenchengladbach had the best defenses, nor that Schalke, Real Madrid and Barcelona supplied the most clinical offenses. Stay tuned for a year-to-year EPL comparison.
As usual, we suggest clicking on the chart to enlarge it.
Tuesday, March 27, 2012
Don't judge a league by its elite
Monday, March 19, 2012
Be very proud, Spurs fans
Friday, February 17, 2012
The most efficient teams in Europe
From the graph, we can surmise that Borussia Moenchengladbach has by far the sturdiest defence, while Freiburg offer about as much resistance as wet paper. The most inefficient teams in front of goal, however are Cesena and Kaiserslauten. It's probably no surprise that both are in severe danger of relegation.
Monday, August 22, 2011
Mourinho's greatest failing a lack of discipline - but not from him
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| courtesy: topnews.in |
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| courtesy: tardis.wikia.com |
Thursday, July 7, 2011
Scoring Stats - Messi and Ronaldo lead all (again!)
| League | Team | Player | Games | % | Stats per Game |
| La Liga | Barcelona | Lionel Messi | 33 | 0.516 | 1.485 |
| La Liga | Real Madrid | Cristiano Ronaldo | 35 | 0.490 | 1.429 |
| EPL | Arsenal | Robin Van Persie | 25 | 0.347 | 1.000 |
| Serie A | Udinese | Antonio Di Natale | 36 | 0.538 | 0.972 |
| Bundesliga | Bayern Munich | Mario Gomez | 32 | 0.370 | 0.938 |
| Serie A | Napoli | Edinson Cavani | 35 | 0.542 | 0.914 |
| Serie A | AC Milan | Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 29 | 0.385 | 0.862 |
| Serie A | Inter Milan | Samuel Eto'o | 35 | 0.435 | 0.857 |
| EPL | Man City | Carlos Tevez | 31 | 0.433 | 0.839 |
| EPL | Tottenham | Rafael Van der Vaart | 28 | 0.382 | 0.750 |
| EPL | Man United | Dimitar Berbatov | 32 | 0.308 | 0.750 |
| Bundesliga | Koln | Milivoje Novakovic | 28 | 0.426 | 0.714 |
| Bundesliga | Hannover | Didier Ya Konan | 28 | 0.408 | 0.714 |
| La Liga | Espanyol | Pablo Osvaldo | 24 | 0.370 | 0.708 |
| Bundesliga | Freiburg | Papiss Demba Cisse | 32 | 0.537 | 0.688 |
| Average | Levante's | Felipe Caciedo | 0.559 |
Image courtesy: www.nevercaptainnickybutt.com
Monday, June 20, 2011
Goalkeeping Stats across Europe - an analysis
101 goalkeepers made over ten starts in Europe's four major leagues during season 2010-12. Another fifty-six made at least one start in either the English Premiership, La Liga, the Bundesliga or Serie A. So after thirty eight games (thirty-four in Germany), which goalkeeper is best?
Of course evaluating custodians purely by stats is a fraught and inaccurate business. Goalkeepers, by their demeanour and wits bring more to a team than simply stopping shots, as per NHL netminders. They also command and organise their defence as well as arrange their players in best positions to defend set pieces. Also, they are often not at fault for the goals conceded, being beaten by lackadaisical or poor defending.
That's not to say that quantification of a goalkeeper's performance is useless. For one thing, we can evaluate definitively the differences across leagues.
| LEAGUE | Total Starts | Conceded | Saves | Saves/Start | Save % | GAA |
| Serie A | 760 | 953 | 2560 | 3.36 | 0.729 | 1.25 |
| La Liga | 760 | 1042 | 2645 | 3.48 | 0.717 | 1.37 |
| EPL | 760 | 1057 | 2403 | 3.17 | 0.695 | 1.39 |
| Bundesliga | 612 | 890 | 1925 | 3.13 | 0.684 | 1.45 |
GAA = Goals Allowed Average. Note the term "Start" has been used rather than "Games". Due to the data available, we weren't able to evaluate when goalkeepers conceded after coming on as a substitute. This also means that all the goals scored in a league throughout the course of the season may not be included in this table.
Perhaps as a result of a slower game tempo, of a reliance on a star individual, miserly defence or even plain and simple goalkeeping ability, Serie A produced consistently the best goalkeeper metrics across the board. That is, Goalkeepers in Italy conceded less goals per game, had a higher save percentage and produced a high level of saves per start.
Italian football is notorious for it's slower pace - unless you're Napoli or Udinese this season - and infamous for low goalscoring. That isn't necessarily borne out here - while the GAA was lower than in the other three major leagues, the increased Save Percentage counteracts that. This could also be a tactical measure, where Italian defenders are more "pigeon-holed" as defensive stoppers, eschewing forward play in favour of stolid defence.
Most surprising was the relative decrease in saves across the water in England. The Premiership produced the second-lowest save percentage and the second-highest GAA. Again, tactical considerations could be keeping these averages low or simply that the offensive play is superior. This could both back up and dispel the popular preconception that the Premier League is the most exciting and balanced in Europe, so while it's interesting data it's hardly definitive. While this table takes into account goalkeeper performance, it is we have said, impossible to divorce that totally from a defence's (in)ability.
How would these numbers look then, if we removed the backups? Most clubs have one primary goalkeeper and at least one creditable custodian in reserve - take for example Italian Champions AC Milan who fielded Christian Abbiati thirty-five times during 2010-11 and Marco Amelia during the remaining three matches. The following table has removed all the players with less than ten league starts. The numbers don't change much at all:
| LEAGUE | Total Starts | Conceded | Saves | Saves/Start | Save % | GAA |
| Serie A | 732 | 912 | 2469 | 3.37 | 0.730 | 1.25 |
| La Liga | 698 | 938 | 2432 | 3.48 | 0.722 | 1.34 |
| EPL | 714 | 988 | 2283 | 3.20 | 0.698 | 1.38 |
| Bundesliga | 553 | 795 | 1758 | 3.18 | 0.689 | 1.44 |
The greatest difference between the two is a minor increase in German Saves per Start and Save Percentage, while Spanish Save Percentage increased mildly as well. The GAAs, though changed in all leagues except Serie A, were minor adjustments. While it was a nice thought that a league's overall goalkeeping quality could indicate how crucial defences were to the numbers, it is unproveable with the above results.
It's perhaps telling that the greatest difference in the table above comes from Germany & La Liga's goalkeeping starts: during the course of the Spanish season, forty-three players got a start between the sticks. Thirty-eight Goalkeepers got starts in the Bundesliga (forty-two, if adjusted for a twenty-team league), thirty-nine Italian league players and thirty-seven in the EPL. While the vast majority of each team's matches were played by the starting GK (over 90% in all leagues), Germany had the most trust in their backups.
This means that backup keepers, whether for reasons of injury, form or rotation claimed 9.93% of the available starts in Germany while in Italy, starters accounted for an enormous 96.3% of the available starts.
In part two, we'll go through Europe's best and brightest goalkeepers by save percentage, Goals Allowed average and by league. In the meantime, you can find all the raw data here at Balanced Sports' Goalkeeper Stats page.
Tuesday, June 14, 2011
Scoring Stats - European Goalscoring Trends
When we first examined the most important marksmen in the Big Four leagues, we looked at which players in Europe were the most crucial to their teams. This was done according to Scoring Stats, a measure of a player's combined Goals and Assists, measured as a percentage of their team's total league goals for the season. Then, Serie A stars Marco Di Vaio and Edinson Cavani topped the European Scoring Stats tables, each contributing to over 63% of their club's goals. Clubs in Italy and Germany - as well as the big two Spanish teams, Real Madrid and Barcelona - were much more likely to focus their offense around one player, as of the top twenty players by Percentage contribution to their team's goals, eight came from Italy and seven from Germany. In early April in Serie A, an average of 38.5% of all a team's goals came from that one focal player; in the Bundesliga it dropped to 36.77%. The English Premier League was by far least reliant on star men, their average contribution by a team leader (32.4%) propped up by Carlos Tevez's remarkable 50% contribution to Manchester City's cause.
Obviously this measure is highly swung in favour of forwards. Although some midfielders - such as Hoffenheim's Gylfi Sigurdsson - or defenders like Leighton Baines led their club, often that was the result of their free-kick taking duties (Baines recording sixteen total Scoring Stats, eleven of which were assists, either from crosses or set pieces).
English Premier League: A balanced attack triumphs
At the end of the Season, numbers didn't change much:
| LEAGUE | Average Goals Per Team | Average Goals per Game | Avg % | |||
| Timeframe | April | Season End | April | Season End | April | Season End |
| Premiership | 42.6 | 53.15 | 1.38 | 1.4 | 32.41 | 31.89 |
| La Liga | 40.4 | 52.1 | 1.35 | 1.37 | 35.38 | 37.33 |
| Serie A | 36.05 | 47.75 | 1.16 | 1.26 | 38.58 | 35.92 |
| Bundesliga | 40.17 | 49.67 | 1.43 | 1.46 | 36.77 | 35.01 |
Where Avg % is the average contribution to a team's total goals by the player with the most total goals + assists. Please note the Bundesliga is an eighteen team league (34 games), not a twenty-team league.
While most clubs decreased their reliance on their star men - in general - over the last six weeks of the season, only La Liga increased. This is in part due to the number of injuries suffered - these figures are always likely to be high at the start of a season and lower towards the end as more players get on the scoresheet and others either fall out rotations or receive injuries. England's total decreased as Carlos Tevez who, with only six weeks remaining in the season, had scored or delivered the assist for half of the Citizens' goals. His importance to league numbers is exemplified with the English percentage dropping by half a percent - because he missed just a month.
Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo: A cut above
Once again, European football was dominated by Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo. While Ronaldo managed to better his opponent's total, having fifty Scoring Stats in the league to Messi's forty-nine, his breakdown was typical of a centre-forward rather than the all-purpose forward into which he has morphed. He registered a 4:1 goals-to-assists ratio, while creative maestro Messi averaged slightly under three assists for every five goals. That he contributed 51.6% of Barca's stats is remarkable and due to their scoring 95 goals for the BBVA season; Ronaldo's Madrid scored 105 goals, meaning his percentage is slightly decreased (49.0%).
To remove those two (and replace them with "average" replacements) is telling:
| LEAGUE | Average Goals Per Team | Average Goals per Game | Avg % | |||
| Timeframe | April | Season End | April | Season End | April | Season End |
| Premiership | 42.6 | 53.15 | 1.38 | 1.4 | 32.41 | 31.89 |
| La Liga | 40.4 | 52.1 | 1.35 | 1.37 | 35.38 | 37.33 |
| La Liga - 2 | 36.5 | 48.9 | 1.22 | 1.29 | 33.59 | 32.92 |
| Serie A | 36.05 | 47.75 | 1.16 | 1.26 | 38.58 | 35.92 |
| Bundesliga | 40.17 | 49.67 | 1.43 | 1.46 | 36.77 | 35.01 |
This can only be considered while keeping several factors in mind. Firstly, should Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi be injured, while the best players in the world, they would undoubtedly be replaced by someone above replacement level. (As a matter of interest "replacement level" is approximately twelve goals and four assists. The player with Scoring Stats most closely resembling those numbers is in-demand Espanyol striker Pablo Osvaldo). That is, this probably incorrectly assumes that Messi and Ronaldo are solely responsible for those goals, which may be true in part but definitely not 100% true. Secondly, it emphasises simply how great Cristiano Ronaldo was during the run-in as he chased Hugo Sanchez's Los Merengues scoring record.
You can, however, see how much Barcelona and Real Madrid inflate Spanish averages. Should they (heaven forbid) undergo financial meltdown, the tenor of the entire Spanish League will be changed forever.
In Part Two, we'll examine which players are the most crucial to their individual teams.
For full details, visit Balanced Sports' Scoring Stats page. There, you'll find totals for each team in Europe as well as for all four English divisions.
Wednesday, January 5, 2011
Real vs. Barca dream team debate
Sid Lowe, a correspondent for World Football Magazine, Sports Illustrated and The Guardian residing in Madrid since 2001 has recently compiled his "Teams of the Decade" for both Barcelona and Real Madrid. A respected voice - both in football commentary and in Spanish life in general - Lowe's teams and reasoning can be found here (Barcelona) and here (Real Madrid).
The teams are also listed here -
Barcelona: Victor Valdes, Juliano Belletti, Carles Puyol, Gerard Pique, Giovanni Van Bronckhorst, Xavi, Andres Iniesta, Deco, Ronaldinho, Samuel Eto'o, Lionel Messi.
Real Madrid: Iker Casillas, Michel Salgado, Fernando Hierro, Ivan Helguera, Roberto Carlos, Steve McManaman, Claude Makelele, Zinedine Zidane, Raul, Ruud Van Nistelrooy, Ronaldo (the Brazilian).
Whatever your preference - for name, styles or culture, there can be little doubt that any other "teams of the decade" would struggle to compete against the might of the two Spanish powerhouses. Cases can probably be made for the usual suspects Chelsea, Manchester United and the Milan powerhouses but even so any suggestion that they'd be able to better the Iberian powerhouses would be speculation at it's most optimistic.
So who do you think would win? Given Barca's propensity for home-grown talent it's likely that Los Blancos squad would have cost several times that of the Catalans. For mine, as impressive as the names are for Los Merengues, I can't look past Barcelona simply because the manner in which they've played for three seasons now is probably as high-quality as we've ever seen. With Real there remains the everpresent question: who's the main man? Would one football be enough?
We'd be curious to see who you think would triumph if both sides were to play a two-legged tie, home-and-away.






