Friday, January 27, 2012
Craig Bellamy - the signing of the season?
Wednesday, December 28, 2011
The Football Year 2011
Wednesday, November 30, 2011
Football's crisis-magnets
| Player | Total hits | Crisis | Saga | Scandal | Row | Gaffe | Controversy |
| Wayne Rooney | 27200000 | 40.81% | 24.67% | 5.48% | 53.31% | 2.69% | 25.40% |
| Carlos Tevez | 14700000 | 64.69% | 38.85% | 24.76% | 40.41% | 3.48% | 21.50% |
| Sepp Blatter | 7690000 | 41.48% | 13.52% | 35.37% | 67.23% | 2.51% | 27.44% |
| John Terry | 14600000 | 44.52% | 23.29% | 4.51% | 41.85% | 3.47% | 24.45% |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 15000000 | 26.33% | 14.33% | 17.93% | 22.00% | 2.55% | 12.67% |
| Jose Mourinho | 25800000 | 39.53% | 19.07% | 20.23% | 32.40% | 2.09% | 17.02% |
| David Beckham | 60100000 | 43.93% | 40.93% | 5.96% | 64.73% | 2.11% | 27.12% |
| Ronaldo | 214000000 | 31.64% | 27.94% | 15.05% | 17.66% | 0.93% | 5.00% |
Friday, September 30, 2011
Carlos Tevez - the bizarro Bosman
Monday, August 8, 2011
English Premier League Season Preview
Friday, July 15, 2011
A-League? No, it's all about Harry.
Tuesday, July 12, 2011
An Apologetic for Carlos Tevez
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| courtesy: thatsagoal.com |
Tuesday, July 5, 2011
An Open Letter to Carlos Tevez
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| Welcomed to "Manchester". Will he be farewelled as fondly? |
Wednesday, June 29, 2011
Scoring Stats - Dependable European forwards
Unsurprisingly, the most dominant forces by way of contributing to their teams forces came from Germany or Italy. In fact, there is a definite "continental" flavour to the players who contribute most to their teams: of the nineteen players who contributed to over 40% of their teams scores with a goal or assist, only one came from England - Manchester City's Carlos Tevez. This could be a function of his manager's heritage and tactics or simply more evidence to suggest his vital nature to the Citizens' attack. Of those nineteen individuals, there were six forwards from Serie A, seven from La Liga and five who played in the Bundesrepublik.
Bologna's captain Marco Di Vaio was statistically the player most involved in his team's goals throughout Europe, while relegated Frankfurt were perhaps too reliant on the goals of Theofanis Gekas. The full table can be found at Balanced Sports' Scoring Stats page. All nineteen players who contributed to over forty percent of their team's goals can be found in the table below:
| League | Team | Player | % Contribution |
| Serie A | Bologna | Marco Di Vaio | 0.600 |
| Bundesliga | Frankfurt | Theofanis Gekas | 0.581 |
| Serie A | Napoli | Edinson Cavani | 0.542 |
| Serie A | Udinese | Antonio Di Natale | 0.538 |
| Bundesliga | Freiburg | Papiss Demba Cisse | 0.537 |
| La Liga | Barcelona | Lionel Messi | 0.516 |
| La Liga | Real Madrid | Cristiano Ronaldo | 0.490 |
| Serie A | Inter Milan | Samuel Eto'o | 0.435 |
| EPL | Manchester City | Carlos Tevez | 0.433 |
| La Liga | Villarreal | Giuseppe Rossi | 0.426 |
| Bundesliga | Koln | Milivoje Novakovic | 0.426 |
| Bundesliga | Schalke 04 | Raul | 0.421 |
| Serie A | Chievo Verona | Sergio Pellissier | 0.421 |
| La Liga | Mallorca | Pierre Webo | 0.415 |
| Serie A | Brescia | Andrea Caracciolo | 0.412 |
| Bundesliga | Hannover | Didier Ya Konan | 0.408 |
| Serie A | Real Sociedad | Xabi Prieto | 0.408 |
| Serie A | Sevilla | Alvarao Negredo | 0.403 |
| Serie A | Real Zaragoza | Gabi | 0.400 |
| Average | Wigan | Charles N'Zogbia | 0.350 |
While very few of these numbers have changed significantly since first sight, the greatest surprise is seeing FC Cologne forward Novakovic so high in the rankings. The Slovenian scored twenty goals in a contract drive which saw him named the league's third highest scorer.
Koln's forward press
In April when we first evaluated how important individuals were to their clubs by this admittedly simple measure, there was another representative from the Cathedral city who made the top fifteen most important, forward Lukas Podolski. That Novakovic unseated him first as Koln's statistically most important forward isn't necessarily suprising - Podolski contributed to 43.4% of his club's scoring only six weeks prior to these readings, while Novakovic was involved in in 42.6% at the end of the season. This could be due to one of three reasons - a slow (read: injured) start to the season by Novakovic, a remarkable finish by the same player, or a spectacular drop-off from Podolski.
What it can't be is one providing assists for the other to finish - they totalled seven assists between them. What it does starkly indicate is how little scoring the Billy Goats received from their midfield - Podolski and Novakovic managed between themselves to contribute to 78.7% of all FC Koln's goals.
Which leads us to ask - as we did in April - what the breakdown is between scores and assists across Europe. The following table lays out the differences between the leagues over the period of six weeks. As you can see, forwards playing in Germany and Italy took on increased passing responsibilities while team leaders in La Liga started to look more for the goal than the assist.
| League | Goals | Assists | Percentage Goals |
| EPL - April | 174 | 105 | 62.37 |
| EPL - Season end | 216 | 123 | 63.72 |
| La Liga - April | 210 | 89 | 70.23 |
| La Liga - Season end | 290 | 99 | 74.55 |
| Serie A - April | 204 | 86 | 70.34 |
| Serie A - Season end | 234 | 109 | 68.22 |
| Bundesliga - April | 193 | 63 | 75.39 |
| Bundesliga - Season end | 221 | 92 | 70.61 |
In Part three of our investigation into Scoring Stats, we'll look at which players are the most effective in Europe - who provides the largest boost to their club not over the course of a season, but per game. In the meantime, for all the raw data, visit Balanced Sports Scoring Stats page.
Tuesday, June 14, 2011
Scoring Stats - European Goalscoring Trends
When we first examined the most important marksmen in the Big Four leagues, we looked at which players in Europe were the most crucial to their teams. This was done according to Scoring Stats, a measure of a player's combined Goals and Assists, measured as a percentage of their team's total league goals for the season. Then, Serie A stars Marco Di Vaio and Edinson Cavani topped the European Scoring Stats tables, each contributing to over 63% of their club's goals. Clubs in Italy and Germany - as well as the big two Spanish teams, Real Madrid and Barcelona - were much more likely to focus their offense around one player, as of the top twenty players by Percentage contribution to their team's goals, eight came from Italy and seven from Germany. In early April in Serie A, an average of 38.5% of all a team's goals came from that one focal player; in the Bundesliga it dropped to 36.77%. The English Premier League was by far least reliant on star men, their average contribution by a team leader (32.4%) propped up by Carlos Tevez's remarkable 50% contribution to Manchester City's cause.
Obviously this measure is highly swung in favour of forwards. Although some midfielders - such as Hoffenheim's Gylfi Sigurdsson - or defenders like Leighton Baines led their club, often that was the result of their free-kick taking duties (Baines recording sixteen total Scoring Stats, eleven of which were assists, either from crosses or set pieces).
English Premier League: A balanced attack triumphs
At the end of the Season, numbers didn't change much:
| LEAGUE | Average Goals Per Team | Average Goals per Game | Avg % | |||
| Timeframe | April | Season End | April | Season End | April | Season End |
| Premiership | 42.6 | 53.15 | 1.38 | 1.4 | 32.41 | 31.89 |
| La Liga | 40.4 | 52.1 | 1.35 | 1.37 | 35.38 | 37.33 |
| Serie A | 36.05 | 47.75 | 1.16 | 1.26 | 38.58 | 35.92 |
| Bundesliga | 40.17 | 49.67 | 1.43 | 1.46 | 36.77 | 35.01 |
Where Avg % is the average contribution to a team's total goals by the player with the most total goals + assists. Please note the Bundesliga is an eighteen team league (34 games), not a twenty-team league.
While most clubs decreased their reliance on their star men - in general - over the last six weeks of the season, only La Liga increased. This is in part due to the number of injuries suffered - these figures are always likely to be high at the start of a season and lower towards the end as more players get on the scoresheet and others either fall out rotations or receive injuries. England's total decreased as Carlos Tevez who, with only six weeks remaining in the season, had scored or delivered the assist for half of the Citizens' goals. His importance to league numbers is exemplified with the English percentage dropping by half a percent - because he missed just a month.
Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo: A cut above
Once again, European football was dominated by Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo. While Ronaldo managed to better his opponent's total, having fifty Scoring Stats in the league to Messi's forty-nine, his breakdown was typical of a centre-forward rather than the all-purpose forward into which he has morphed. He registered a 4:1 goals-to-assists ratio, while creative maestro Messi averaged slightly under three assists for every five goals. That he contributed 51.6% of Barca's stats is remarkable and due to their scoring 95 goals for the BBVA season; Ronaldo's Madrid scored 105 goals, meaning his percentage is slightly decreased (49.0%).
To remove those two (and replace them with "average" replacements) is telling:
| LEAGUE | Average Goals Per Team | Average Goals per Game | Avg % | |||
| Timeframe | April | Season End | April | Season End | April | Season End |
| Premiership | 42.6 | 53.15 | 1.38 | 1.4 | 32.41 | 31.89 |
| La Liga | 40.4 | 52.1 | 1.35 | 1.37 | 35.38 | 37.33 |
| La Liga - 2 | 36.5 | 48.9 | 1.22 | 1.29 | 33.59 | 32.92 |
| Serie A | 36.05 | 47.75 | 1.16 | 1.26 | 38.58 | 35.92 |
| Bundesliga | 40.17 | 49.67 | 1.43 | 1.46 | 36.77 | 35.01 |
This can only be considered while keeping several factors in mind. Firstly, should Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi be injured, while the best players in the world, they would undoubtedly be replaced by someone above replacement level. (As a matter of interest "replacement level" is approximately twelve goals and four assists. The player with Scoring Stats most closely resembling those numbers is in-demand Espanyol striker Pablo Osvaldo). That is, this probably incorrectly assumes that Messi and Ronaldo are solely responsible for those goals, which may be true in part but definitely not 100% true. Secondly, it emphasises simply how great Cristiano Ronaldo was during the run-in as he chased Hugo Sanchez's Los Merengues scoring record.
You can, however, see how much Barcelona and Real Madrid inflate Spanish averages. Should they (heaven forbid) undergo financial meltdown, the tenor of the entire Spanish League will be changed forever.
In Part Two, we'll examine which players are the most crucial to their individual teams.
For full details, visit Balanced Sports' Scoring Stats page. There, you'll find totals for each team in Europe as well as for all four English divisions.



